Seasonal Forecast for Bulgaria

Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

  • seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
  • seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.


Winter (December-January-February): All categories below/near/above normal temperature are equaly likely. Nevertheless winter 2018/19 is likely to be colder than winter 2017/18. Winter 2018/19 is also likely to be with seasonal rainfall/snowfall near or above normal which would make it similar to winter 2017/18 in terms of precipitation.


The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27-th-30-th

A more datailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian