Seasonal Forecast for Bulgaria

Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

  • seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
  • seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.

 Winter (December-January-February): All categories are equally likely for seasonal rainvfall/snowfall but the seasonal temperatures are likely to be near or above normal. The winter of 2022-2023 is likely to be similar to the winter of 2021-2022 or colder and/or drier.

 

 

The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27-th-30-th

A more detailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian