Seasonal Forecast for Bulgaria

Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

  • seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
  • seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.

 Winter (December-January-February): With mean seasonal temperature above normal and seasonal rainfall/snowfall near or below normal. Winter 2019/20 is likely to be similar to winter 2018/19.

Spring (March-April-May): With mean seasonal temperature near or above normal. The chances for seasonal rainfall below, near, or above normal are equal. Newertheless spring 2020 is likely to be similar to or wetter than spring 2019.


The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27-th-30-th

A more datailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian