Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

• seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
• seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.

     Winter (December-January-February): With mean seasonal temperature and seasonal rainfall/snowfall near or above normal. The winter of 2023/24 is likely to be less warm and with more precipitation than the winter of 2022/23.

The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27^-th-30^-th

A more detailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian