Seasonal Forecast for Bulgaria

Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

  • seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
  • seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.

 Autumn (September-October-November): With mean seasonal temperature near or above normal and seasonal rainfall near normal. Autumn 2018 is likely to be similar to autumn 2017 or to be with less precipitation.

Winter (December-January-February): With mean seasonal temperature near normal and seasonal rainfall/snowfall near or above normal. Winter 2018/19 is likely to be colder than winter 2017/18.


The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27-th-30-th

A more datailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian