Seasonal Forecast for Bulgaria

Seasonal forecasts look very different from traditional short-range forecasts. These are the two main differences:

  • seasonal forecasts cover the meteorological elements mean values for 3 months;
  • seasonal forecasts are in terms of probability.

NIMH issues a synthesis of the seasonal forecasts from several leading world centres.

Summer (June-July-August): With mean seasonal temperature near normal. All categories below/near/above normal are equally likely for the seasonal amount of precipitation.

Autumn (September-October-November): With mean seasonal temperature near or above normal and seasonal rainfall near or below normal. Autumn 2020 is likely to be similar to auumn 2019.

 

The seasonal forecast is updated every month in the interval 27-th-30-th

A more datailed seasonal forecast only in Bulgarian